Sunday , February 28 2021

Bills vs. Chiefs odds, predictions, betting trends for 2021 AFC championship game

The Payments face the Chiefs within the AFC championship sport at Arrowhead Stadium on Sunday.  

The sport is scheduled for six:40 p.m. and can be televised on CBS.  

Kansas Metropolis is within the AFC championship sport for the third consecutive season. The Chiefs superior by holding on for a 22-17 victory towards Cleveland within the divisional playoffs. Patrick Mahomes stays in concussion protocol, and his standing will decide which manner the betting traits go heading into Sunday.  

Buffalo is again within the AFC championship sport for the primary time since the 1993-94 season. Josh Allen has led the Payments to eight straight victories, and the protection flexed in a 17-Three victory towards Baltimore within the divisional playoffs.  

It is an thrilling matchup between two groups led by younger quarterbacks.

Here is all the pieces to learn about betting on Payments vs. Chiefs within the 2021 AFC championship sport, together with up to date odds, traits and our prediction for who will attain Super Bowl 55.

AFC & NFC bracket | TV schedule | Super Bowl picks

Payments vs. Chiefs odds 

  • Unfold: Kansas Metropolis -Three 
  • Over/below: 53.5 
  • Moneyline: Buffalo +120, Kansas Metropolis -140 

The Chiefs have held as a three-point favourite, however the road has dropped to 2.5 at some sportsbooks. Readability on Mahomes’ standing would possibly result in some late motion, however bettors seeking to take the Payments will not get rather more worth than this.  

Payments vs. Chiefs all-time sequence 

The Payments lead the all-time sequence 26-22-1. This marks the fourth postseason assembly between the groups. Kansas Metropolis beat Buffalo 31-7 within the 1966 AFL championship. Buffalo beat Kansas Metropolis within the AFC divisional playoffs in 1991 and AFC championship in 1993.  

The Chiefs beat the Payments 26-17 in Week 6.  

Three traits to know 

— The Chiefs are 1-9 ATS of their previous 10 video games, together with playoffs. Kansas Metropolis has did not cowl the unfold at Arrowhead Stadium of their previous seven residence video games.  

— The Payments are 9-1 ATS of their previous 10 video games, together with playoffs. Buffalo is Four-1 ATS as an underdog this season, however the lone loss was towards Kansas Metropolis in Week 6.  

— So far, 54 p.c of the wagering has are available favor of Buffalo overlaying the unfold towards the Chiefs. A complete of 64 p.c of the wagers are taking the Payments on the cash line.  

Three issues to observe 

Will Mahomes play?  

Mahomes stays in concussion protocol, and if he cannot go the Chiefs will flip to veteran backup quarterback Chad Henne. Kansas Metropolis might go for a run-first assault both manner figuring out Clyde Edwards-Helaire rushed for 161 yards within the final assembly. Edwards-Helaire (hip) practiced final week and will return this week. Darrel Williams proved he might deal with the workload towards the Browns final week, and Le’Veon Bell additionally will get a handful of touches.  

Allen to Diggs  

It is perhaps one of the best connection within the NFL proper now. Diggs has 5 100-yard video games in Buffalo’s previous six video games. In that stretch, Diggs has 51 catches on 65 targets for 732 yards and 6 TDs. What can the Chiefs’ secondary, led by Tyrann Mathieu, do to disrupt that connection, particularly in the course of the sector? Diggs had six catches for 46 yards and a TD within the regular-season assembly.  

Travis Kelce’s impression

Kelce completed with 5 catches for 65 yards and two TDs within the regular-season assembly. Mahomes or Henne will depend on Kelce on this matchup in the course of the sector, and Buffalo must make that adjustment within the pink zone. Buffalo’s linebackers cannot lose Kelce this time round.  

Stat that issues 

Time of possession. Kansas Metropolis managed the ball for 37:45 within the first assembly towards the Payments, their second-highest whole of the season. The Chiefs can management the tempo with their operating sport, too, and Buffalo must counter that. In Kansas Metropolis’s two losses, their opponents had the ball for greater than 34 minutes. Granted, a kind of losses was a Week 17 matchup towards the Chargers when Henne began over Mahomes, however that time nonetheless stands.  

Payments vs. Chiefs prediction 

We’ll make this choose with the idea that Mahomes performs. Both manner, Buffalo comes out with an aggressive passing assault, and Allen hits Diggs for a first-quarter TD. Allen retains Cole Beasley and John Brown concerned, however the Chiefs maintain off the operating sport sufficient. Mahomes begins off shaky, however the magic act begins within the third quarter. He hits Kelce and Tyreek Hill for touchdowns, and the operating sport picks up within the fourth quarter. If Edwards-Helaire performs, that operating sport can be targeted on much more. Buffalo scores a late TD for the ultimate margin, however for the second straight week Andy Reid would not give the ball again.  

Closing rating: Chiefs 28, Payments 26 

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