Racing Tips: Andrew Mount’s Monday Picks – March 21st

Leading horse racing advisor Andrew Mount’s is a contributor to the Racing Post, Racing Post Weekender, Racing & Football Outlook, the GG.co.uk website and a regular pundit on William Hill radio. Andrew uses stats and systems to great effect and he shares his latest thoughts below…

Andrew was in fine form last week with 40-1 winner CHAMBARD the obvious highlight. He has four bets across three races on Monday, March 21st. Follow his tips this week and all year round on horse racing betting sites with the lowdown on his latest picks below:

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SOUTHWELL 1.00

PEUR DE RIEN (system – Kapgarde chasers, good to soft or faster going)

Since the beginning of 2017, progeny of the sire Kapgarde have a 71 from 406 record when racing over fences on good to soft or quicker going and backing them blind would have returned a profit of £44.36 to a £1 level stake at SP (taking the best early price the evening before racing would have boosted the profit to over £100). Oliver Sherwood’s PEUR DE RIEN was well held when falling at Warwick last time but has been freshened up by a 57-day break and he scored off a 4lb higher mark at this time last year.

WINCANTON 2.20

BALLYBLACK (system – Jeremy Scott, first run in a handicap hurdle)

Jeremy Scott hasn’t got the greatest strike-rate with his runners making their handicap hurdle debut – eight from 75 (10.7%) since 2014 – but backing them blind would have returned a profit of £51.50 to the usual £1 stake. Exeter maiden hurdle winner BALLYBLACK was unable to follow up at Ascot next time, finishing a 13-length third, but the fourth has won since and he looks the one to beat.

SOUTHWELL 3.20

HERECOMESHOGAN & WINDY COVE (system – Martin Keighley, Southwell jumps)

Trainer Martin Keighley is 35 from 190 with his jumpers at Southwell (18.4% strike-rate) for a profit of £58.37. He complicates matters by running two in this novices’ hurdle – stable debutante WINDY COVE and HERECOMESHOGAN but I’m happy to back both.

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