Sagaro Stakes Trends and Tips | Horse Racing Best Bets For Ascot Race

Ascot Gold Cup clues this Wednesday as some of the top staying flat horses line-up for the Group 3 Sagaro Stakes (3.35) at Ascot racecourse. We’ve seven horses entered that include the Aidan O’Brien-trained Wordsworth, who will be looking to give the Ballydoyle trainer his first win in this race. Andy Newton takes a look at the race in more detail and gives you the key Sagaro Stakes trends.

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Sagaro Stakes Tips

Trainer Aidan O’Brien Looking For His First Sagaro Stakes Win

Believe it, or not – trainer Aidan O’Brien has never won the Sagaro Stakes. But he’s got a leading chance this year to break that duck with Wordsworth @ 10/3 with LiveScore Bet. Tis son of Galileo was a recent winner at Gowran Park so can be expected to have an advantage over the others having had a recent run.

That was his second career win from 9 runs and his seventh top three finish. He’s run well at Group 1 & 2 level in the past too and acts well on this quicker ground. Ryan Moore also rides (was on last time) so it’s hard to crab his chance – certainly one for the shortlist, but the only niggle based on the trends is that only 4 of the last 19 past winners came here off the back of a win.

Irish Mare Princess Zoe Heads To Ascot

Another Irish raider and the oldest runner in the field – Princess Zoe @ 3/1 with LiveScore Bet. – also comes over from the Emerald Isle. She gets a small mares’ allowance and is the second highest-rated in the field at 113, so is another player.

She ran well in top staying flat races last season too and was runner-up in the Ascot Gold Cup here at the Royal Meeting in June. The niggel with her is that she’s now seven races without a win.

Past Winner Nayef Road Is Back For More

Nayef Road @ 7/1 with LiveScore Bet. won this race in 2020 and will be trying to win back his crown after also running a close third here 12 months ago. He was only beaten 1 1/2 lengths by the mighty Stradivarius last season too so this front-runner can be expected to make another bold bid.

With just the one win (Listed grade) from his last 13 outings, this Mark Johnston runner has become a tad hard to win with though.

Tashkhan The Top-rated In The Field

The one the others seem to have to aim at though – based on the ratings – is the Brian Ellison runner – TASHKHAN @ 7/2 with LiveScore Bet. This 4 year-old took a big step forward last season and rounded off a top campaign with a close second to Trueshan in the Long Distance Cup here on Champions Day.

He’s a horse that acts on any ground and at the age of just 4 years-old can also be expected to still have more improvement to come. Yes, the 193-day break is a small worry, but looking back through his form he’s won off layoffs in the past, which eases the concern a bit.

Andy Newton’s Sagaro Stakes Verdict

Course winners Quickthorn, Calling The Wind and Ememy make up the seven runners in the race and certainly can’t be ruled out, but the ratings do suggest they’ve got a small bit to find with Wordsworth, Princess Zoe and TASHKHAN @ 7/2 with LiveScore Bet.

The Irish raiders are very much respected and the race fit Wordsworth can go close, but I just feel that if Trueshan was in this race (ground is not soft enough) he’d be the clear favourite. So, with Tashkhan running that horse to 1 1/2 lengths last time here in October is form that sets a fair standard and, therefore, this Brian Ellison runner gets the nod based on that.

Note: Odds are subject to change.

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Sagaro Stakes Trends

• 16/19 – Returned 11/2 or shorter in the betting
• 16/19 – Had won at least 3 times before
• 13/19 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
• 13/19 – Aged 4, 5 or 6 years-old
• 13/19 – Had won a Group race before
• 13/19 – Rated 108 or higher
• 12/19 – Had won over at least 2m (flat) before
• 12/19 – Placed favourites
• 12/19 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
• 8/19 – Had run within the last 6 weeks
• 5/19 – Winning favourites
• 4/19 – Won last time out
• 3/19 – Raced at Nottingham last time out
• 2/19 – Went onto win the Ascot Gold Cup (2 of last 9)
• Trainer Aidan O’Brien have never won the Sagaro Stakes
• The average winning SP in the last 19 runnings is 9/2

Recent Sagaro Stakes Winners

• 2021 – STRADIVARIUS (4/7 fav)
• 2020 – NAYEF ROAD (8/1)
• 2019 – DEE EX BEE (11/8 fav)
• 2018 – TORCEDOR (9/4 fav)
• 2017 – SWEET SELECTION (15/2)
• 2016 – MIZZOU (11/4)
• 2015 – MIZZOU (4/1)
• 2014 – TAC DE BOISTRON (7/2)
• 2013 – ESTIMATE (2/1 fav)
• 2012 – COLOUR VISION (9/2)
• 2011 – ASKAR TAU (4/1)
• 2010 – ILLUSTRIOUS BLUE (16/1)
• 2009 – PATKAI (2/5 fav)
• 2008 – SHIPMASTER (4/1)
• 2007 – TUNGSTEN STRIKE (9/2)
• 2006 – COVER UP (4/1)
• 2005 – ALCAZAR (5/1)
• 2004 – RISK SEEKER (11/2)
• 2003 – ALCAZAR (7/2)

Watch Stradivarius Winning The 2021 Sagaro Stakes

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Ascot Race Times and Schedule For Wednesday 26th April 2022

• 1:50 – Manny Mercer Apprentice Handicap Cl3 (4yo+ 0-95) 1m SKY
• 2:25 – Royal Ascot Two-Year-Old Trial Conditions Stakes (GBB Race) Cl2 (2yo) 5f SKY
• 3:00 – Naas Racecourse Royal Ascot Trials Day British EBF Fillies’ Conditions Stakes (GBB Race) Cl3 (3yo) 1m SKY
• 3:35 – Longines Sagaro Stakes (Group 3) (A Gold Cup Trial) Cl1 (4yo+) 2m SKY
• 4:10 – Merriebelle Stables Commonwealth Cup Trial Stakes (Group 3) (Registered As The Pavilion Stakes) Cl1 (3yo) 6f SKY
• 4:40 – Paradise Stakes (A Queen Anne Stakes Trial) (Listed Race) Cl1 (4yo+) 1m SKY
• 5:10 – Ascot Queen Anne Membership Handicap Cl4 (4yo+ 0-85) 5f SKY

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